# A Simple Swing Trading Strategy for the S&P 500

If we assume an approximately normal distribution and independent returns see below , the t-statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the average return, excluding , is drawn from a population of zero mean, is given by:. There are, however, a few caveats. Well the Dow, or its complete name, The Dow Jones Industrial Average, is really the average price of the 30 stocks in its index. However, note that all hypothesis tests are conditioned on past data. At expiration you are simply profitable or not.

A Simple And Timeless Way To Trade The S&P Successfully his simple advice has outlasted every other strategy I have tried (and I've tried many).

## SPX Index Chart

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## The Bottom Line

The S&P is an intelligent trading strategy and a popular benchmark. I show below that the probability of obtaining the mean return of the S&P by chance is extremely low. If we assume an. Mar 11, · Swing trading is a way to take advantage of market retracements to get better trade entries. This simple strategy shows uses the daily S&P index. S&P index futures surged in popularity in the past decade after the SEC’s pattern day trading rule triggered an exodus of retail capital out .